Europa League Betting Tips

Europa League Match Ball

vverve, bigstockphoto.com

The Europa League is Europe’s second club competition behind the Champions League. Formally the UEFA Cup, it has been in its current guise since the 2009/10 season.

Like the Champions League, the Europa League also features teams from across Europe competing in a league format before entering a knockout phase in the final stages. The qualification for this starts as early as June depending on UEFA coefficients, with Champions League group stage dropouts also entering the fray during the round of 32.

Although not quite matching the prestige of the Champions League, winning the Europa League does gain that team entry into the following season’s premier competition so silverware isn’t all that is at stake. Manchester United, Chelsea, Atletico Madrid and Sevilla have all won in recent years with Liverpool and Fulham also reaching finals since becoming the Europa League.

Below are our previews and tips for the biggest games across the latest round of matches.

Europa League Matches – 14th March 2019

Date Time Channel Match Tip
14/03/19 17:55 BT Sport Dynamo Kiev v Chelsea Chelsea to Win -1
14/03/19 17:55 BT Sport Krasnodar v Valencia Valencia Win
14/03/19 17:55 BT Sport Salzburg v Napoli Napoli Win
14/03/19 20:00 BT Sport Arsenal v Rennes Arsenal to Win -2
14/03/19 20:00 BT Sport Benfica v Dinamo Zagreb Benfica to Win -1
14/03/19 20:00 BT Sport Inter Milan v Eintracht Inter Milan Win
14/03/19 20:00 BT Sport Slavia Prague v Sevilla Sevilla Win
14/03/19 20:00 BT Sport Villarreal v Zenit Draw

On Thursday night, we have eight Round of 16 UEFA Europa League second leg ties to look forward to. Chelsea have one foot in the last eight after a 3-0 win in their first game. Arsenal, though, have a lot of work to do, as Unai Emery’s boys were beaten 3-1 by Rennes in France.

Dinamo Zagreb, Napoli, Valencia and Villarreal also have leads to protect. Get ready for what promises to be an exciting night of Europa League action.

Blues to Ease Through

Dynamo Kiev NSC Olimpiyskiy Stadium

By Vasyatka1, Wikimedia Commons

Maurizio Sarri’s Chelsea will be looking to complete the job in Ukraine after a comfortable 3-0 victory over Dynamo Kiev at Stamford Bridge last week. As expected, the Premier League side are the overwhelming favourites to book their place in the last eight of the competition.

Chelsea dominated against Kiev in London, with Pedro giving the hosts the lead after just 17 minutes. Willian and Callum Hudson-Odoi added goals in the second half to give Sarri’s men a resounding win.

Chelsea have been in patchy form of late, but the Blues are now unbeaten in four (three wins, one draw) since their Carabao Cup final defeat to Manchester City at the end of last month. Dinamo Kiev, meanwhile, have won their last five league matches.

After an easy win on their own patch, Chelsea should have too much quality for Kiev again on Thursday. Take a punt on the visitors to win -1 at the tempting odd of 3/1.

Gunners to Turn Things Around

Arsenal Emirates Stadium Clock

Photo: Ap04, Wikimedia Commons

Emery’s Arsenal have given themselves a mountain to climb after a shock 3-1 defeat to Rennes in the first leg. Despite the scoreline, the Gunners are available at just 19/20 to progress through to the quarter-finals.

Arsenal made a lightning start in Rennes, with Alex Iwobi giving the away team the lead after just three minutes. Unfortunately for the Londoners, things went downhill from there, conceding three goals and having a man sent off in the eventual 3-1 loss.

Nevertheless, Arsenal have been exceptional at home this term, so they will back themselves to turn things around on their own patch. In the Premier League, the Gunners have won each of their last nine home matches and have not lost since a 2-0 defeat to champions Man City on the opening weekend.

With Arsenal so strong at the Emirates Stadium, we can see them turning this around in the English capital. Put some money on Emery’s troops to win -2 at 15/8.

Sevilla to Get the Job Done

Slavia Prague Eden Arena

By Petr Vilgus, Wikimedia Commons

Pablo Machin’s Sevilla and Jindrich Trpisovsky’s Slavia Prague played out a four-goal thriller when they met at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan last week, leaving this fascinating tie well and truly in the balance. Even though Prague have two away goals, Sevilla are fancied to go through.

It was a pulsating fixture in Spain, with Wissam Ben Yedder giving the hosts the lead after just one minute. Miroslav Stoch equalised but Munir put Los Rojiblancos back ahead three minutes later. Six minutes before the break, Alex Kral netted for the visitors to complete the scoring.

Machin’s side will have been disappointed not to have picked up the win on home turf, but the Spanish side should get the job done in the Czech Republic on Thursday night. Put some money on the Sevilla win at 21/20.

  • Krasnodar v Valencia - Valencia hold a narrow 2-1 advantage in this tie. Two goals from Rodrigo put the Spanish team two ahead, but Viktor Claesson netted an important away goal for Krasnodar. Still, Marcelino’s men should go through, and we fancy them to win (at odds of 11/8) in Russia on Thursday.
  • Salzburg v Napoli - Carlo Ancelotti’s Napoli were excellent in the first leg against Red Bull Salzburg, with Arkadiusz Milik, Fabian Ruiz Pena and an own goal by Jerome Onguene giving Gli Azzurri a comfortable 3-0 home win in Naples. We fancy the Italian outfit to prevail (15/8) in Austria, too.
  • Benfica v Dinamo Zagreb - After a 1-0 win in Croatia, Nenad Bjelica’s Dinamo Zagreb have a slender lead in this tie. However, Bruno Lage’s boys are very strong at the Estadio da Luz, and we fancy them to turn this tie around on home turf. Back the Portuguese side to win with a -1 goal handicap at odds of 5/4.
  • Inter Milan v Eintracht - The Inter Milan v Eintracht Frankfurt tie is delicately poised after a goalless draw in the Waldstadion in Germany last Thursday. With the second leg taking place at the San Siro, though, our money is going on a home victory (13/10) in this one.
  • Villarreal v Zenit - Villarreal put in a stunning performance in Russia last week, beating Zenit Saint Petersburg 3-1 at the Krestovsky Stadium. The Yellow Submarine, who sit in a lowly 17th place in La Liga, should see this one through. Back this to end in a draw (27/10) at the Estadio de la Ceramica.

About the Europa League

The UEFA Europa League (EL) is a pan-European football tournament sanctioned by the Union of European Football Associations (UEFA). UEFA hosts two similar events, with the Europa League the lower level competition, ranked behind the more prestigious, lucrative and longer established Champions League.

Until being rebranded in 2009 this tournament was known as the UEFA Cup but still held the same secondary status. Essentially the Europa League is the UEFA Cup, just with a different name, by which we mean that as far as UEFA’s own records go, the two are one and the same.

Now, you quite probably already knew those most basic of basic facts regarding this wonderful cup competition. However, below you can find an array of lesser-known information if you want to really brush up the Europa League (as we will now refer to the tournament both pre- and post-rebranding). That will include a more in-depth history of the competition, as well as some great trivia and one or two strategic betting pointers that might help you make a profit from betting on the EL.

Tournament Format

The Europa League may not get neutrals quite as excited as the Champions League but it remains a huge competition. It features a huge 48-team group phase and with 160 teams taking part in total (as of the 2018-19 season, as with all facts unless stated otherwise), it sometimes seems like there are endless Europa League games.

That’s great for punters, with masses of Thursday night football to enjoy and bet on, with kick-offs staggered too, meaning it’s easy to watch more than one game on the same evening. There is now more television coverage of the Europa League than ever before, so you really are spoiled for choice if you want to watch and bet on the EL.

As with its “big brother” the Champions League, the Europa League offers 12 months of football action if you include the earliest rounds. In 2018 the draw for the preliminary rounds was made all the way back on the 12th June. That saw 14 minnows of European football, such as Wales’ Cefn Druids and Engordany from Andorra, play their first games of that year’s tournament the same month.

With the final scheduled for the 29th May 2019, that’s almost a full year of action and a full year in which you can bet on the Europa League. Those earliest stages may not receive too much attention from punters and bookies but once the group phase begins in September the best football betting sites around really up their games.

Europa League Betting Strategy

Options for betting on these games can seem overwhelming, with a typical Thursday seeing literally thousands of markets over all the matches. So, where should you start when trying to have a bet or two on the Europa League and how can you seek to beat the bookies at what is, really, their own game?

We have loads and loads of betting strategy info on the site and you can see that in our main football strategy section. In essence, betting on the Champions League and Europa League are very, very similar. The Champions League may be a little more glamorous than the EL and take place earlier in the week; and the format of the competition is somewhat different. However, when it comes to strategic betting tips, the two are virtually interchangeable.

As such, rather than repeat ourselves, we suggest you take a look at our dedicated feature on the UEFA Champions League. If that sounds like too much effort, we’ll recap the most pertinent info here, perfect if you don’t want the full analysis.

Bet on the Early Stages

For those with local or specific knowledge about Europe’s minnows, or those really prepared to put the time and effort in, the preliminary and qualifying rounds might well serve up a tidy profit.

The bookies spend more time and money making their odds as accurate as possible for the games that attract the most money. Fewer punters bet on the EL before the group phase so if you know your stuff, this might be the best time to cash in.

Spain to Reign?

In the Champions League article we explained how backing Real Madrid every year might be the simplest effective betting tactic going. No side has dominated the EL in quite the same way, although Sevilla did win five times between 2006 and 2016, including three in a row from 2014.

Backing Sevilla won’t, therefore, work out but backing a Spanish side in the outright market could prove a similarly lucrative tactic. Spanish sides have won the EL 11 times, more than any other nation. Though 11 wins since 1971 might not sound that impressive, nine of those wins have come since 2004, including five wins between 2011-12 and 2017-18.

UEFA’s Technical Report?

In our guide to the Champions League we highlighted some developing trends that could offer an insight into betting on the competition. These trends are virtually spelled out in the annual technical report that UEFA produces for the CL.

Well, those generous analysts and stats geeks kindly also produce a report for the Europa League too. This can easily be found online and is sure to hold a wealth of information that will help out punters prepared to put in the groundwork.

History of the Europa League

The Europa League was founded in 1971 and, as said, was originally called the UEFA Cup. It was preceded by the Inter-Cities Fairs Cup, which was founded in 1955, the same year as the Champions League (then called the European Cup).

The Inter-Cities Fairs Cup was not a UEFA-sanctioned competition and started out with just 11 teams. It grew quite quickly though and by its final season 64 teams took part. This growth made UEFA feel the competition had real merit so they effectively took it over, relaunching it as the UEFA Cup for the 1971-72 campaign.

There were various tweaks over the years, with changes to format and size but for the 1999-2000 season we saw a really major alteration. Prior to then, there had been another major inter-European cup, the UEFA Cup Winners’ Cup (CWC) for the winners of the major domestic cups in each UEFA country.

This merged into the Europa League after the 1998-99 season, leaving Lazio as the last side to win the CWC. In fact, this had only a relatively minor impact on the EL, simply hastening its expansion and altering the way in which teams qualified for it.

The Europa League is Born

In 2009 we saw a much bigger change, with the UEFA Cup rebranded as the Europa League for the 2009-10 season. As well as a change of name, the competition also saw the UEFA Intertoto Cup (IC) become merged into it. The IC hadn’t proved a huge success and was effectively a third – or even fourth – tier European competition and teams that would have played in that now entered the EL in its early rounds.

The Europa League, despite steadily growing more lucrative, still lagged a long way behind the CL in prestige, glamour and finances. This meant that many sides, especially top teams who felt they belonged in the CL, did not take the EL 100% seriously.

Many sides fielded weakened XIs, so in an attempt to make the Europa League seem less of a poisoned chalice and more of a competition clubs and fans could really buy into, UEFA decided to award the winners of the competition a place in the following season’s Champions League.

In 2015 Spain’s Sevilla became the first side to take advantage of this after they beat Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk 3-2 in Warsaw. Sevilla actually earned a spot directly into the group stage of the CL but that was only because the place reserved for the winners of the previous year’s CL wasn’t needed (finalists Juventus and Barcelona had already secured their group phase position via their league finish. Got all that?!).

In the 2017-18 season, seeking to further boost the prestige of the competition, UEFA once again decided to enhance the prize on offer to the winners of the Europa League. As of then and at the time of writing, the side lifting the EL will not only qualify for the Champions League but they will also be catapulted straight through to the group stage.

Format of the Europa League

As with most long-standing competitions in football, the precise format of the EL has been tweaked many times over the years. The biggest change was when the league/group format was introduced. Prior to the 1997-98 season, the Europa League was entirely a two-legged knockout competition, with even the final played home and away.

In 1998 Inter Milan won the first ever final at a neutral venue, beating Lazio 3-0 at the Parc des Prince in Paris. It wasn’t until the 2004–05 season that we really saw a major change though, with the introduction of a group phase.

Since then there have been yet more minor changes but the 2018-19 Europa League worked thus:

  • UEFA coefficients are used to determine the best national leagues
  • The higher ranked nations receive more places in the Europa League and enter the competition later on
  • Teams are also seeded at various points throughout the competition depending on the coefficient and their previous results
  • There are two pathways through qualifying, the Champions Path (for league champions) and the Main Path (for non-champions and cup winners)
  • Teams are divided by path in the second and third qualifying rounds, and the play-off round
  • 14 teams from low ranking nations compete home and away in the preliminary rounds
  • 7 sides progress to first qualifying round, joining 87 other higher ranked sides
  • The winning 47 of these sides are joined by 27 higher ranked sides in the second qualifying round, again playing home and away
  • The third qualifying round sees the 37 winners from the previous round and 13 teams entering at this round, plus two sides dropping down from the CL qualifying process
  • 42 teams compete in the play-off round, playing home and away to determine the final 21 teams progressing to the group stage
  • The Group stage sees these 21 join 10 sides dropping down from the CL plus 17 higher ranked clubs play in 12 groups of four
  • Each team in the group plays home and away for a total of six games each
  • The top two qualify for the last 32 where they are joined by eight third-placed Champions League group stage teams
  • From the last 32 until the final, the Europa League follows a standard cup knockout format, with ties decided over two legs; if level after two legs, the ties goes to extra time and then, if required, penalties
  • The final is a simple one-off game at a pre-decided venue

Facts & Figures

We’ve got 10 tidy Europa League facts, just to lighten things up in case you’ve heard enough complicated EL structure info about qualifying rounds to last you a lifetime!

  1. Second tier riches – prize money for the EL winners was €8.5m in the 2018-19 season, compared to €19m for the CL, but various bonuses along the way and TV money make the difference in riches much more substantial than that
  2. Winners – Sevilla have won the Europa League five times and never lost a final. Liverpool are one of four sides to have three titles to their name
  3. Losers – Benfica and Marseille hold the highly unwanted record for the most final appearances without winning the competition, both having lost three EL finals
  4. No Barca? – seven Spanish sides have appeared in the UEFA Cup/Europa League final but Barca aren’t one of them
  5. Wolves – the first ever Europa League final was held at Molineux Stadium as Wolves hosted Spurs in the first leg of the 1972 final
  6. Scorer – Sweden’s Henrik Larsson is the top goalscorer in the competition, notching 40 goals in 56 games for Feyenoord, Celtic and Helsingborg. Jupp Heynckes has the best EL goals per game record of any top striker though, with 1.095 goals per game
  7. Comeback Kings – In the 1975-76 EL Club Brugge lost the first leg 3-0 to Ipswich but won the return 4-0, the best comeback in the competition’s history
  8. Falcao – former Chelsea and Man United striker Radamel Falcao holds the record for most goals in a single EL season. He notched 17 for Porto in the 2010-11 campaign
  9. Appearances – Giuseppe Bergomi has made the most appearances in the competition, managing 96 for Inter, although he never managed to score
  10. Top Coach – Arsenal’s Unai Emery has coached a side 63 times (and counting) in the EL. That’s more than any other boss and he’s also lifted the trophy three times. Can he make that four with the Gunners?