Newmarket July Meeting Betting Tips – 12th, 13th & 14th July 2018

Horse RaceThe quality action on the flat continues this week with the Newmarket July Meeting. Headlined by Saturday’s July Cup, this three day meeting contains a mixture of Group level races, ultra-competitive handicaps and races which pit together some of the most promising juveniles in training.

The mix of racing in the July Meeting is great for punters. There’s a whole host of betting value to be unearthed throughout the meeting. So why not mark your card with tips from a selection of the best racing ahead of you?

Day 1 (Ladies Day) Key Races: Tuesday 12th July 2018

Time Race Distance Tip
2:25 July Stakes 6f Sergei Prokofiev at 9/2 (Betfair)
3:00 Bet365 Handicap 6f Foxtrot Lady at 10/1 (Ladbrokes)
3:35 Princess of Wales’s Stakes 5f Dee Ex Bee at 7/2 (Betfair)

Ladies Day gets the July Meeting underway. That means a certain amount of style and fun in the stands while on the course there is an exciting selection of races for punters to get their teeth into.

July Stakes

3:35: Group 2, 1 Mile 4 Furlongs

Two-year-olds have a few chances to shine during this week at Newmarket including in the Group 2 July Stakes. This six furlong contest will see some very promising types go up against each other but while juveniles can make quick improvements, punters have seen enough of the main protagonists in the July Stakes to give them something to go on.

Advertise is the favourite with the bookies. He was a very impressive winner on his debut at Newbury and did well to finish second last time out at Ascot from a tricky draw. Martyn Meade’s colt has a good chance to win but it could be the horse who finished just behind him at Royal Ascot, Sergei Prokofiev, who gets up to triumph.

Trained by Aidan O’Brien, Sergei Prokofiev was never going to win the Coventry Stakes after Ryan Moore was forced to switch twice to try and give the horse a route to the line. Hopes are high that this colt has a big future ahead of him and providing things go a little smoother for him in running Sergei Prokofiev may just reward his backers at 9/2 with Betfair.

Sergei Prokofiev to win at 9/2 with Betfair

Bet365 Handicap

3:00, Class 2, 6 Furlongs

The first of a few Bet365 Handicaps of the week, this is a class two handicap race open to three-year-olds and run over a distance of just six furlongs. A maximum of 20 horses can compete and the decent prize on offer has seen the 2018 renewal oversubscribed. When the cut is made we’ll be left with a competitive field which offers some great betting options.

As this race has been going for a while there are some trends that punters can use to inform their betting. For example, none of the last 12 winners won their most recent race, they all raced within the last four weeks and the vast majority had at least one win over six furlongs before. One horse who ticks all of those boxes is the Andrew Balding trained, Foxtrot Lady.

It’s been a fairly busy season for Foxtrot Lady already with five appearances over six furlongs on the turf so far. Those appearances have yielded two wins and two second places and Balding is very happy with the work of his filly. Despite those strong performances, Foxtrot Lady has been well treated by the handicapper and will run off a mark of 8-10 so represents good value at 10/1 with Ladbrokes.

Foxtrot Lady to win at 10/1 with Ladbrokes

Princess of Wales’s Stakes

3:35: Group 2, 1 Mile 4 Furlongs

We’re at the stage of the flat racing season when members of the Classic generation begin to compete against their elders. That’s the case in the Princess of Wales’s Stakes which is open to horses aged three and older. Run over one mile, four furlongs, this is a Group 2 race which is set to be contested by some quality horses from well-respected yards.

Mirage Dancer is the bookies’ favourite having secured some decent results so far but the value bet could well be Dee Ex Bee. Mark Jonhston’s three-year-old was a rather surprising second in the Epsom Derby but was very disappointing when finishing towards the back of the pack in Irish equivalent. The ride Dee Ex Bee got that day at the Curragh was questioned as he was held towards the back and couldn’t get back on terms at any stage. A drop down in grade could see Dee Ex Bee get back to winning ways at a generous 7/2 with Betfair.

Dee Ex Bee to win at 7/2 with Betfair

Day 2 (Feel Good Friday) Key Races: Friday 13th June 2018

Time Race Distance Tip
2:25 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes 6f Just Wonderful at 10/1 (Ladbrokes)
3:35 Falmouth Stakes 1 Mile Alpha Centauri at 8/11 (Betfred)

It’s all about feeling good on Friday at Newmarket. The organisers do a great job of keeping racegoers entertained between races but punters may be a little worried about having a bet on Friday the 13th!

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes

2:25, Group 2, 6 Furlongs

The Duchess of Cambridge Stakes has been a Group 2 race since 1996. Even before that promotion, this was an important race for two-year-old fillies who have been slated for big things in their future. We certainly have some exciting types in the betting for the 2018 renewal.

The most interesting option in Friday’s race is Just Wonderful. Aidan O’Brien was shocked with her performance in the Group 3 Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot and the vet could find no obvious reason why she would follow up a debut win at the Curragh by finishing 14th of 18. The only viable excuses for Just Wonderful is that she was held up in traffic at Ascot and that the performances of two-year-olds are often very difficult to predict.

Just Wonderful is one of those fillies who punters with a keen interest in breeding have been getting very excited about. Connections are hopeful that she will be a main player in the big middle distance races next year but for now the job is about getting back to being competitive again when up against quality rivals. Backing Just Wonderful after such a stunning failure carries some risk but she does look good value for an each way bet at 10/1 with Ladbrokes.

Just Wonderful each way at 10/1 with Ladbrokes

Falmouth Stakes

3:35, Group 1, 1 Mile

The Falmouth Stakes is one of two Group 1 races at the Newmarket July Meeting. This is a chance for the best filly and mare milers to show what they are capable of against their elders. After a run of five straight wins for four-year-olds, it was members of the Classic generation who won the most recent two renewals and it’s another three-year-old, Alpha Centauri, who heads the betting.

Rhododendron and Hydrangea were two of the stars of last year’s Classic generation and of the pair, it’s Rhododendron who has the best chance of winning despite a flat performance last time out in the Queen Anne Stakes. It’s unlikely that she’ll be able to get the better of the bookies’ favourite though.

Jessica Harrington was more than a little disappointed with Alpha Centauri’s first performance of the season but all was forgiven thanks to consecutive Group 1 wins. Her showing at Royal Ascot was particularly impressive, winning the Coronation Stakes in record time. A repeat of that performance will make her unbeatable at Newmarket but she’s far from unbackable at 8/11 with Betfred.

Alpha Centauri to win at 8/11 with Betfred

Day 3 (Darley July Cup Day) Key Races: Friday 14th July 2018

Time Race Distance Tip
1:40 Bunbury Cup 7f Speculative Bid at 25/1 (Coral)
2:15 July Cup 6f Dreamfield at 10/1 (Betfair)

Saturday brings the July Meeting to a close with a bang. Named after the feature race of the day, Darley July Cup day includes some very competitive handicaps and chances for two-year-olds to show what they can do in addition to the Group 1 which takes all the attention.

Bunbury Cup

1:40, Class 2, 7 Furlongs

The Bunbury Cup is a very popular race for a variety of reasons. For punters, this seven furlong contest with 20 competitors always throws up some very tempting bets while trainers and connections are enthused by the prospect of claiming the £75,000 prize given to the winner.

Although this is a very difficult race to predict, get it right and there is some big profit to be made. The bookies may not be clear about who to fear most (Gilgamesh is a weak favourite at a general 7/1), but Speculative Bid is one who could return very nicely from an each way bet at 25/1 with Coral.

At seven, Speculative Bid would be the oldest winner of the Bunbury Cup since Mine in 2008 but David Elsworth’s gelding is fresher than many horses his age having missed the 2016 season through injury. Following some good performances over the winter, hopes are high that Speculative Bid can get back to the levels he reached pre injury. A win would be a massive result on his first turf performance of the year but it is not out of the question while just a place would see Speculative Bid return nicely for his backers.

Speculative Bid each way at 25/1 with Coral

July Cup

2:15, Group 1, 6 Furlongs

This is the race upon which the Newmarket July Meeting hangs its hat. Run over six furlongs, the Group 1 July Cup is among the most valuable and prestigious sprints of the flat racing season. Winning this race always improves a horse’s reputation and it’s going to take an excellent display of sprinting to come out on top of the high class field assembled on Saturday.

Blue Point, U S Navy Flag and Eqtidaar are all from well-respected yards and all three have been well backed in the earlier stages of the betting. Those three clearly have a good chance of landing the July Cup but a win for Dreamfield would be the biggest story.

The Godolphin-owned colt made waves as a two-year-old, winning both of his starts (including Conditions Stakes at Newmarket in October). However, injury kept him out of the entirety of 2017 so Dreamfield is remains inexperienced for a four-year-old. That inexperience was in evidence when he hung left last time out at Royal Ascot. Other than that error under pressure, John Gosden will be happy with Dreamfield’s showing in front of the huge crowds at Ascot. It’s clear from the 10/1 price that Betfair are quoting that the bookies are unconvinced but Dreamfield has all the attributes to go on and become a top class sprinter so don’t rule out an eye catching July Cup win.

Dreamfield to win at 10/1 with Betfair